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Performance scenarios of a deal based on Options

Performance scenarios of a deal based on Options

PERFORMANCE SCENARIOS of a deal based on Options: Gold

Option – Call – European Style – Maturity March 2021.

Parameters Abbreviation Value
Call opening price ($): P $2,500 (per contract)
Trade size (per ounces): TS 1 contract (equivalent to 100 ounces)
Strike Price: S $1,900 
Gold Futures Price ($): PG $1,850
Premium ($): PXTS $2,500

BUY / LONG  Gold FuturesPrice Closing Price of gold futures (inc. spread) Gold Price change Net Profit/Loss
Favourable $1,850 $2,035 10% $11,000
Moderate $1,850 $1,942.5 5% $1,750
Unfavourable/Stress $1,850 $1,900 2.7% -$2,500 (Max loss)

SELL / SHORT  Gold FuturesPrice Closing Price of gold futures (inc. spread) Gold Price change Net Profit/Loss
Favourable $1,850 $1,900 2.7% $2,500
Moderate $1,850 $1,924 4% $100
Unfavourable $1,850 $1,942.5 5% -$1,750
Stress $1,850 $2,220 20% -$29,500

To note that when you are buying an option, in this case buying Call Option, your risk is limited to the premium you have paid. Thus, the stress scenario is limited and known. However, in case you are short an option, in this case shorting a call option, your risk is unlimited and your stress scenario is not known.

Please be informed that the PnL will be always calculated in your trading Account’ currency.

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2022-04-21 • Updated

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