The overall market sentiment is mixed as new virus cases continue rising throughout the world, but most economic indicators came out better than analysts expected. Let’s look at the main market movements.
Will the recovering US retail sales boost the USD?
Information is not investment advice
The US retails sales are announced on Tuesday at 15:30 MT time.
Instruments to trade: EUR/USD; USD/JPY; GBP/USD; USD/CAD
April was a disastrous month for the US sales which sank more than 16%. The effect was even more hurtful as it was far worse than the expected -12%. May, however, is supposed to reflect the start of recovery. As unnoticeable as it usually goes, this indicator may be crucial this time in defining the stock market’s mood as it’s been on a bullish trend alarmingly against raw data. On the other hand, if the sales indeed show that the economy is confidently picking up, that will definitely boost the USD and launch the stock market into another bullish wave. The expectation is at -10% hence whatever comes higher than this will be taken as good news.
- If the retail sales reflect a confident recovery, the USD will rise.
- If the sales are slow to recover, the USD will fall.
The market sentiment switched to risk-off after the Fed’s Powell statement. The USD edged higher, while risker assets started falling after reaching quite high levels. Let’s have a closer look.
The overall market sentiment is mixed as investors await the Federal Reserve’s statement today at the evening.
The market sentiment is indeed risk-on today. Stocks, riskier currencies and gold are rising amid the waning US dollar.
The US NFP will be published on August 7 at 15:30 MT time.
The RBA will make a rate statement on August 4 at 7:30 MT time.