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What to expect from monthly Core PCE Index?

What to expect from monthly Core PCE Index?

Information is not investment advice

What to expect from monthly Core PCE Index?

Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Index is the same as Consumer Price Index (CPI). The only difference between them is that CPI excludes foods and energy.

What will happen?

Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Index is the same as Consumer Price Index (CPI). The only difference between them is that CPI excludes foods and energy. Food and energy can take up to 25% of PCE, but they are highly seasonal. Without these volatile components PCE is considered as more accurate indicator of inflation.

 Why is it important?

 Traders keep a close watch on it because of the rumors, that this is Fed’s favorite inflation measure. Nevertheless, CPI is released about 10 days earlier and tends to garner most of the attention. A couple months ago, higher-than-planned results caused several big movements.

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How to trade PCE Price Index?

 The results will have an impact on all USD pairs.

 If it turns out to be higher-than-expected, the USD will rise.

  • Otherwise, USD will fall.

  Check the economic calendar

 Instruments to trade: USD/JPY, USD/CAD, USD/CHF.

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FBS Analyst Team

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