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US PCE May Soar Soon

US PCE May Soar Soon

Information is not investment advice

What will happen?

The United States Bureau of Economic Analysis will release monthly Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) on June 30, 15:30 GMT+3. PCE Index is quite similar to Consumer Price Index (CPI). The only difference is that CPI excludes foods and energy. Food and energy can take up to 25% of PCE, but they are highly seasonal. Without these volatile components, investors consider PCE a more accurate inflation indicator.

Why is it important?

Traders keep a close watch on PCE because of the rumors that this is the Fed’s favorite inflation measure. The release in May matched the expectations. However, the EURUSD pair moved 400 points higher and 480 points lower the same day. This time volatility may be the same (or higher) as the inflation in the US is at a 40-years high. You would have earned around $400 per trade if you traded one lot.

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How to trade on the US PCE release?

The results will have an impact on all the USD pairs.

  • If it turns out to be higher than expected, the USD will rise.
  • Otherwise, USD will fall.

Check the Economic Calendar

Instruments to trade: USDJPY, USDCAD, EURUSD.

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FBS Analyst Team

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