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The US Labor Market And Real Estate Market Are In Focus This Week

The US Labor Market And Real Estate Market Are In Focus This Week

Information is not investment advice

Happy Friday! This week was full of news. Reports season is shaking the stock markets; pairs fluctuate, and Gold is falling. What’s going on? Let’s check

The US labor and real estate markets are in focus

The US Initial Jobless Claims was released worse than the forecast. The fact was 245K against 240K in the forecast. Continuing jobless claims increased as well. The situation in the labor market is worsening, and waiting impatiently for the unemployment rate for April.  

Existing home sales decreased. 4.44M for March. That was logical, considering the situation with the new home sales. The mortgage rate in the US is beating its record highs. Slowing in consumption may push the Fed for future monetary easing. In this case, USD will start falling again, while XAUUSD may start rising. 

Rumors around the Governmental debt ceiling resumed. Goldman Sachs: ‘The day X, when the U.S. will lose solvency due to the debt ceiling, may come earlier than planned (namely, in August). Bad news for the dollar and American indices. Good news for Gold again.

European fundamental factors

The UK retail sales decreased in March by 0.9%. UBS and BofA expect the Bank of England to raise rates by 0.25% in May. It also predicts the rate to peak at 4.5%.

German Manufacturing PMI is falling. PMI stands for Purchasing Manager Index and reflects the purchasing managers’ activity situation. The higher – the better. If PMI is above 50 – the economy is stable. If below – the recession is expected. German PMI is 44 points now.

BTC and Gold

BTC is returning to 26700. 200MA on the W1 time frame is heading down. The trend is primarily bearish. 

XAUUSD on the H4 time frame dropped below 200MA again. The nearest support level is approximately $1980.50. Shorts are preferable. Do you agree with that?




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