Don’t waste your time – keep track of how NFP affects the US dollar!

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The US jobless claims!

The US jobless claims!

Information is not investment advice

The US unemployment claims are announced on Thursday at 15:30 MT time.

Instruments to trade: EUR/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD

Since the second week of October, the number of initial jobless claims has never exceeded 800K in the US. The average values have been revolving around the channel of 750-780K throughout the latest weeks. On a large scale, there is a clear recovery path that the US labor market has been gradually following since the record peak of unemployed people in April. However, this is not what may move the USD in the short term: the market expectation is. Therefore, what you have to look for is whether the market will be “amused or not amused” with the actual number of initial jobless claims as compared to the expectation. If it is better than the forecast, the USD will get stronger. If not, the dollar may soften.

  •  If the data is better-than-thought, the USD will be boosted.
  • Otherwise, it will fall.

Check the economic calendar

USD - 24Dec.jpg

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USD Moves Weird Ahead of CPI

The United States will publish the Inflation Rate and Core Inflation Rate, also known as US CPI and Core CPI, on August 10 at 15:30 GMT+3.

The NFP Release: One More Punch for USD?

The United States Bureau of Labor Statistics will release monthly average hourly earnings, non-farm employment change (NFP), and unemployment rate on August 5, 15:30 GMT+3.

The UK Speeds Up Tightening

The Bank of England (BoE) will share its Official Bank Rate and make a statement on monetary policy on August 4, 14:00 GMT+3.

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