Happy Tuesday, dear traders! Here’s what we follow:
Presidential election is in focus
Information is not investment advice
US Election - the most expected event approaches. What will happen?
Instruments to trade: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, AUD/USD, XAU/USD
This is the moment that everybody has been waiting for – the presidential election on November 3. Put aside all your plans for this day as it will be one of the greatest events for the entire Forex market as it will impact all financial assets from commodities to currencies. The results will define all the major market drivers: the amount of fiscal stimulus, further US-China relationship, and the seize of taxes. Also, it’s significant for markets to know whether the US government will be unified or divided. So, there are 5 possible scenarios that may happen:
- a clear victory of Biden – the USD will fall, stocks will rise on larger stimulus, gold, the CNH, and the AUD will rise on hopes for better US-China relations;
- a clear victory of Trump – the USD will surge, and stocks will rise on tax cuts;
- Biden wins, but the Senate is held by Republicans – both the USD and stocks may slightly plummet;
- Trump wins, but the Senate is held by Democrats – the USD will get support, the AUD will get under pressure, and stocks may slightly rise.
- The result is contested – stocks will dramatically fall.
Nevertheless, we may not get the results on this day as the coronavirus restrictions made the election process harder. Anyway, the market will be volatile! Catch the market flow!
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The most impactful releases of this week will fill the market with volatility and sharp movements.
Happy Tuesday, dear traders! Here’s what we follow:
Labor Market and Real Estate Market data was published yesterday. Markets are slowing down, so the economy is in recession. Today the traders should pay attention to the Retail sales in Canada.