The overall market sentiment is mixed as new virus cases continue rising throughout the world, but most economic indicators came out better than analysts expected. Let’s look at the main market movements.
Oil industry: Donald Trump’s 2 tweets boost the price
Information is not investment advice
Yesterday we saw how WTI oil prices jumped up after Donald Trump’s 2 tweets and reached the 25.30 mark. Today the WTI price went even higher and now it’s 27.32 dollars per barrel. There is definitely an upward trend, breaking through 23.6 Fibonacci level at the 26.85 mark and two lines of Moving Average, 50 and 100, respectively.
How did the oil war get started?
The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries met in early March and failed to agree on the amount of oil supply cut amid the coronavirus outbreak. It meant that starting April 1 all the members could pump as much oil as they want. As a result, both unlimited supply and reduced demand (because of lockdowns for many economies around the world) cause oil prices to fall dramatically.
What is the forecast for the oil market?
The OPEC+ meeting will be hold on April 6. It’s expected that Russia and Saudi Arabia will negotiate and cut oil production to raise the WTI price to nearly 30 dollars per barrel. The United States has traditionally not been a part of these kinds of meetings, but its new status as the world’s largest oil producer, coupled with its particularly expensive method of extracting oil, means that things could be about to change.
The market sentiment switched to risk-off after the Fed’s Powell statement. The USD edged higher, while risker assets started falling after reaching quite high levels. Let’s have a closer look.
The overall market sentiment is mixed as investors await the Federal Reserve’s statement today at the evening.
The market sentiment is indeed risk-on today. Stocks, riskier currencies and gold are rising amid the waning US dollar.
The US NFP will be published on August 7 at 15:30 MT time.
The RBA will make a rate statement on August 4 at 7:30 MT time.