China will publish manufacturing and non-manufacturing PMIs on December 31, at 3:00 MT time.
Oil has dropped to the May’s lows
Information is not investment advice
While we are making bets on who will be more favorable as the US president for the oil, the prices of Brent and WTI have fallen down. Just look at the chart of Brent – the price was pulled below the 200-day SMA yesterday. Today, it has confirmed its downward momentum by falling to the support at $36.4 (May’s low). If this level is broken, the next support will lie at $34. The first resistance level for bulls remains at $40.7.
What about WTI? The price has already crossed the $36 level and is now confidently moving to the support at $31.8. To get back their positions, buyers need to push the price back to $40.
What are the reasons behind this slide?
The negative drivers lie on the surface. Firstly, the new lockdown measures in Germany and France threatened the markets with lack of demand once again. Another negative factor affecting the oil prices is the oversupply of oil in Libya. Don’t forget about the potential return of OPEC+ production levels, which may pull the oil prices lower. As for the US oil, the weekly crude oil inventories published yesterday came out with a surprising increase of 4.3 million (vs. the forecast of 1.5 million). An unexpected build-up pushed added pressure to the oil prices as well.
Further attention of oil traders will be on the US election on November 3. According to researchers, Joe Biden’s victory will be bullish for oil due to his comments on cutting subsidies for fossil fuels. Therefore, the post-election reaction of oil prices will be under our particular attention.
Notice that you need to choose BRN-20Z and WTI-20Z to trade Brent and WTI.
The USA will publish Chicago PMI on December 30, at 16:45 MT time.
Canada's retail sales will be out on Friday at 15:30 MT time.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell will testify today at 19:05 MT time. This event is crucial for traders as the tone of the speech may set the risk tone for the markets for the next two weeks.
Non-farm payrolls, the most awaited economic report, will be out on March 5 at 15:30 MT time.
BoA has tracked signs of the upcoming stock market sell-off. While more expensive and at-risk stocks are set to fall, value stocks should survive.