The overall market sentiment is mixed as new virus cases continue rising throughout the world, but most economic indicators came out better than analysts expected. Let’s look at the main market movements.
Market updates on July 11
Information is not investment advice
Key events ahead
BOE Financial Stability Report – 12:30 MT time
Hawkish outlines will support the British pound
Speech by the BOE Governor Mark Carney – 13:00 MT time
His comments regarding future changes to the monetary policy will affect the GBP
ECB Monetary Policy Meeting Accounts – 14:30 MT time
More insights into the previous dovish meeting of the ECB
US CPI and core CPI – 15:30 MT time
Higher-than-expected figures may help the USD to recover
Testimony by the Fed Chair Jerome Powell – 17:00 MT time
Let’s hear further comments by the dovish Fed Chair
Speech by the FOMC member Quarles – 20:30 MT time
Probably the last chance for the USD bulls to see the rise of the USD today, if the comments by the FOMC member are less dovish.
- Yesterday, the dovish remarks on the expectations of a rate cut by the Fed weakened the USD against other currencies. On H4, EUR/USD has managed to stick above the crossover of the 50-period and 200-period SMA near the 1.1269 level. If the USD continues to weaken, bulls will likely face the resistance at 1.1285. After the breakout, the rise will be limited by the 1.1306 level. The next key level is 1.1321. If the USD gets positive momentum, the euro will slide below the 1.1269 level. The next support levels will lie at 1.1257 and 1.1249. Pay attention to the oscillators: if RSI leaves the overbought zone and Stochastic forms a crossover it may bring a short-term selling opportunity.
- GBP/USD also started to correct to the upside on dovish comments by Powell. The cable has already tested the resistance at 1.2538 on H4. The next key level will lie at 1.2587 (50% Fibo). If this level is broken, we need to pay attention to the 1.2603 and 1.2636 levels. From the downside, the support levels lie at 1.2508, 1.2496 and 1.2479. The stochastic indicator is about to form a crossover within the overbought zone.
- USD/JPY, in its turn, corrected to the downside. The first resistance for the pair lies at 108.13 (38.2% Fibo), If this level is broken, the next resistance will be placed at 108.26 (50-period SMA). The strength of bulls will be proved after the next level at 108.37 is reached. On the other hand, weak USD will pull the pair to the support at 107.88 (50% Fibo). The next important level for bears lies at 107.61 (61.8% Fibo level).
The market sentiment switched to risk-off after the Fed’s Powell statement. The USD edged higher, while risker assets started falling after reaching quite high levels. Let’s have a closer look.
The overall market sentiment is mixed as investors await the Federal Reserve’s statement today at the evening.
The market sentiment is indeed risk-on today. Stocks, riskier currencies and gold are rising amid the waning US dollar.
The US NFP will be published on August 7 at 15:30 MT time.
The RBA will make a rate statement on August 4 at 7:30 MT time.