The overall market sentiment is mixed as new virus cases continue rising throughout the world, but most economic indicators came out better than analysts expected. Let’s look at the main market movements.
Emergency in Japan as coronavirus spreads
Information is not investment advice
Instruments to trade: USD/JPY, CAD/JPY, AUD/JPY
Coronavirus pushes to recession countries one by one. This time it gets to Japan, known as one of the world’s hardest working nation.
Soft lockdown in Japan
As coronavirus cases surged in the country, Prime Minister Shinzo Abe declared the state of emergency in the largest population centers that make up almost 50% of GDP, according to Bloomberg.
In fact, the lockdown isn’t as strict in Japan as in other countries today, it’s just a request to stay at home and close businesses, not an order. So, perhaps the downturn of economic activity won’t be so extreme. However, according to Japan economists, people will take it seriously this time.
Moreover, Japan Prime Minister will rescue the country’s economy by almost 1 trillion US dollars stimulus package equal to 20% of Japan's economic output. It’s more than double the amount Japan spent following the crisis in 2008.
Many economists believe that Japan has already fallen into recession because of export declines, supply-chain disruptions and travel bans. There are fears that economy is going to shrink close to 20% in a lockdown.
As we could notice, if coronavirus cases rise, the stock market volatility rises too. As a result, Japanese yen may lose its safe-heaven status.
The market sentiment switched to risk-off after the Fed’s Powell statement. The USD edged higher, while risker assets started falling after reaching quite high levels. Let’s have a closer look.
The overall market sentiment is mixed as investors await the Federal Reserve’s statement today at the evening.
The market sentiment is indeed risk-on today. Stocks, riskier currencies and gold are rising amid the waning US dollar.
The US NFP will be published on August 7 at 15:30 MT time.
The RBA will make a rate statement on August 4 at 7:30 MT time.