The overall market sentiment is mixed as new virus cases continue rising throughout the world, but most economic indicators came out better than analysts expected. Let’s look at the main market movements.
Can you make a profit on American inflation?
Information is not investment advice
The US monthly CPI is announced at 15:30 MT time on Thursday.
Instruments to trade: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, AUD/USD
Last year, US inflation was moving within the corridor of 0.1% to 0.4%, with the exception of January and September when it came at the zero level.
December 0.2% was just a bit lower than the expected 0.3% and did not create a significant reaction in the USD. The currency did not show any noticeable response to that announcement: EUR/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY, and other pairs continued their respective trends with little correlation to the released CPI.
Hence, it is safe to assume that the USD will keep its respective course against other currencies on the day of the CPI release unless the discrepancy between the market expectation and the actual number is significant.
- If the indicator substantially outperforms the forecast, the USD will be boosted.
- If the indicator undershoots the expectations, the USD will drop.
The market sentiment switched to risk-off after the Fed’s Powell statement. The USD edged higher, while risker assets started falling after reaching quite high levels. Let’s have a closer look.
The overall market sentiment is mixed as investors await the Federal Reserve’s statement today at the evening.
The market sentiment is indeed risk-on today. Stocks, riskier currencies and gold are rising amid the waning US dollar.
The US NFP will be published on August 7 at 15:30 MT time.
The RBA will make a rate statement on August 4 at 7:30 MT time.