Stocks, oil, and risk currencies gained on Tuesday as the formal go-ahead for US President-elect Joe Biden to begin his transition burnished a November already boosted by Covid-19 vaccines.
XAU/USD: what’s the pattern?
Information is not investment advice
XAU/USD soared in June but didn’t manage to get above 1,440. During the past three weeks, the price of gold consolidated between that level o the upside and 1,380 on the downside. Although the asset looked overbought, the weakness of the USD kept the price near the highs, so short positions turned out to be premature. Now, however, the price action looks very much like the “diamond” pattern that tends to precede a reversal. Still, to trade on it we would need a confirmation: a decline at least below 1,404. The initial targets will be at 1,390 and 1,371. This scenario looks like the path of least resistance technically.
However, there’s a substantial fundamental chance that the policy of the Fed will keep the USD under pressure. In this case, XAU/USD could strengthen. The price would be able to at least retest the 1,435 area if it rises above 1,425.
EUR/USD fell below 1.1850 after reaching 1.1920 on Monday. The pair consolidated after the initial bearish move.
USD/CAD remains within a downtrend. As a result, selling the pair as it turns down from resistance is the best strategy. Support lies at 1.3125.
U.S. stocks are set to open lower later, on a combination of the pandemic news and the downbeat news from Tech’s Old Guard late on Thursday.
Oil fell below $52.00 because investors expect a weaker oil demand amid rising Covid-19 infections and new lockdowns.
Asian equity markets traded cautiously after the mixed lead from Wall St where most indices stalled at record levels