EUR/JPY rebounded from the 123.00 level on the H4. The pair formed a “piercing line” pattern.
XAU/USD: gold may weaken
Information is not investment advice
The technical necessity of a downturn was visible in XAU/USD for a long time. Yet, gold made an attempt to strengthen in May but was stopped by resistance just above $1,300. The price is now once again below this key level. Last week’s bearish candlestick on W1 has a long upper wick. This is a negative sign. Both weekly and daily Awesome Oscillators are declining.
The USD has been leading as a safe haven during the last several days, and this situation is likely to continue. Some risks/volatility in this scenario will be related to the publication of the FOMC meeting minutes on Wednesday. The USD will be fine and gold will decline if the minutes are not dovish (if the Fed's members really didn't consider a rate cut).
XAU/USD now has several support levels: 100-week MA at 1,277.25 (now above the price but not far), 1,275.50 (38.2% Fibo of the 2018-2019 advance), 1,266.15 (this year’s lows). It’s possible to trade between these support levels or on the break below the latter).
NZD/CAD has reached a 200-week MA (0.8950) and formed a “shooting star” candlestick on the D1. On the H4, we see a lower high.
XAU/USD has moved this week in line with its short-term uptrend and the overall long-term uptrend reaching $1 865.
USD/JPY has been rising for almost a week except for Monday, but the strong resistance of the 50-day moving average at 105.80 may stop it from moving higher.
BoA released the report with the bullish forecast for the S&P 500 and shared its technical analysis. Let's discuss it in detail.
EUR/USD has violated the first resistance trendline area 1.1680