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The technical necessity of a downturn was visible in XAU/USD for a long time. Yet, gold made an attempt to strengthen in May but was stopped by resistance just above $1,300. The price is now once again below this key level. Last week’s bearish candlestick on W1 has a long upper wick. This is a negative sign. Both weekly and daily Awesome Oscillators are declining.
The USD has been leading as a safe haven during the last several days, and this situation is likely to continue. Some risks/volatility in this scenario will be related to the publication of the FOMC meeting minutes on Wednesday. The USD will be fine and gold will decline if the minutes are not dovish (if the Fed's members really didn't consider a rate cut).
XAU/USD now has several support levels: 100-week MA at 1,277.25 (now above the price but not far), 1,275.50 (38.2% Fibo of the 2018-2019 advance), 1,266.15 (this year’s lows). It’s possible to trade between these support levels or on the break below the latter).
Gold price formed a bearish harmonic ‘Butterfly’ pattern. Still, the detour to $1760 may be the decline it forecasts. In addition, even the pattern allows expecting the increase up to $1780.
AUD/USD formed an inverted "Head and Shoulders’ and is targeting 0.7815, 0.7840, and 0.7860.
USD/JPY rose to the resistance of the 50-week MA at 106.00. The pair is not at the resistance line since the end of December.
Ichimoku Kinko Hyo CAD/JPY: The pair is trading above the cloud…
Gold price formed a bearish harmonic ‘Butterfly’ pattern. Still, the detour to $1760 may be the decline it forecasts. In addition, even the pattern allows expecting the increase up to $1780.
Ichimoku Kinko Hyo GBP/JPY: The pair is trading below the cloud…
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