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WTI oil: up at $62 while OPEC+ decides

WTI oil: up at $62 while OPEC+ decides

Information is not investment advice

Today, OPEC+ is expected to announce how much exactly oil they will supply to the oil market in the coming months. More specifically, what the supply increase will be. The Saudi approach favors a cautious strategy with an expected 500,000bdp increase - that stands against the Russian view on the matter that supposes 1,500,000bpd should be added to the daily supply. That'll be known this Thursday evening, most probably. 

In the meantime, a missile landed at the Saudi Aramco site near Jeddah. That was one of the two incidents claimed by Yemen's Houthis (fighting against the UN-recognised government in Yemen) who allegedly attacked a Saudi airbase as well. That might have been the main factor that made the oil price rise to $62 recently. Another factor was the fall of the US oil inventories that spurred the price to the upside.

Now, while Saudi Arabia achieved to produce an image of a very flexible and cautious oil market player, they have a very strong negotiating leverage currently - that 1mln bpd that they voluntarily cut from their production plan to support the price. That's just to say, be prepared to see anything from a modest increase lower than the market expectation to the highest reasonable number. At the end of the day, it's OPEC - things are rarely straightforward there. 


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How Will BoJ Meeting Affect the Yen

Hold onto your hats, folks! The Japanese yen took a nosedive after the Bank of Japan (BOJ) left its ultra-loose policy settings unchanged, including its closely watched yield curve control (YCC) policy. But wait, there's more! The BOJ also removed its forward guidance, which had previously pledged to keep interest rates at current or lower levels. So, what's the scoop? Market expectations had been subdued going into the meeting, but some were still hoping for tweaks to the forward guidance to prepare for an eventual exit from the bank's massive stimulus

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