The G20 summit took place in Bali, Indonesia, on November 2022…
What will move the market on December 6 - 10?
Information is not investment advice
The US dollar was rallying for a long time, driven by expectations for soon Fed tapering but then dropped because of the uncertainty over omicron. The appearance of the new virus variant shook the markets and led to a surge in demand in safe-haven currencies such as the Japanese yen and the Swiss franc. Besides, omicron raised concerns that the US central bank can delay a rate increase and add to the USD's fall. However, Fed Chair Powell signaled his intention to taper faster, and it supported the USD. Now, traders eagerly await the FOMC meeting on December 16. For now, EUR/USD is likely to continue trending down. The key support level is 1.1200. If it breaks it, it may fall to 1.1100.
S&P 500 has reversed up from 4500. If it manages to break above the resistance level of 4550, it may jump back to 4700. Pfizer and Moderna reacted first to the new Covid-19 variant, omicron. As a result, Pfizer rocketed to the record high while Moderna surged above $375 for the first time since October. The movements in the stock market highly depend on the omicron spread and vaccination progress.
Crude oil keeps falling. XBR/USD (Brent oil) dropped below $70 for the first time since August, while XTI/USD (WTI oil) fell below $65. Why? The US and other countries released millions of barrels from their reserves, and also the new coronavirus variant raised concerns over oil demand. If the current tendency remains, XTI/USD may drop to $62, XBR/USD – to $65.
The deafening news shocked the whole world yesterday: the British Queen Elizabeth II died peacefully at the age of 96…
After months of pressure from the White House, Saudi Arabia relented and agreed with other OPEC+ members to increase production.
On Thursday, the 2nd of February, the Bank of England will publish its report concerning interest rates and inflation data for the Eurozone. Professionals and investors anticipate that Andrew Bailey’s lead team of policy makers will likely raise interest rates to 4%; the highest in over a decade, for the tenth time in a row.
The first FOMC meeting comes after a buildup of anticipation from traders and investors alike, as the markets await what posture the Fed will take regarding the interest rates; would there be a hike or a cut in interest rates? Recall that the Federal Open Market Committee had previously ended the year 2022 with a 50bps hike, and an indication from Powell, the committee chairman, that the Fed could consider raising interest rates by 75bps in the course of the year 2023.
Western countries are trying to find other options for oil and gas supplies after a 10th package of sanctions, which will put more pressure on Russian oil and decrease global oil supply. Italy, for example, is in talks with Libya.