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What to trade on May 9-13?

What to trade on May 9-13?

Information is not investment advice

It was an intense week across all the markets! We saw decent movements of major pairs, gas, stock indices, and oil prices. What should we trade this week? Time to check!

Trade ideas


Last week was full of impactful events on the Forex market. First and foremost, the Federal Reserve raised the interest rate by 50 basis points. The Fed indicated that despite its readiness to keep hiking rates this year, it’s not going to make an extraordinary big increase. This news pushed the major currencies higher versus the US dollar. Both EURUSD and GBPUSD tested the upper borders of their consolidation ranges. At the end of the week, the Bank of England’s meeting and the US nonfarm payrolls added to volatility. AUDUSD also enjoyed the week on the bigger-than-expected (to 0.35% vs the forecast of 0.25%) rate hike by the Reserve Bank of Australia. We await the releases of US CPI and PPI to be the highlights of the next week.

Oil & Gold

The potential embargo of Russian supplies pushed the oil prices higher last week. XTIUSD left the triangle on the daily chart and tested the $107 level. XBRUSD rose to $110. The next resistance levels lie at $115 for WTI and $118 for Brent.

Gold jumped closer to the resistance zone at $1900-$1910 after the Fed interest rate decision. This week, it has the potential to strengthen towards the resistance at $1950. On the downside, $1850 and $1805 represent strong support levels.


The stock market indices anticipate huge volatility after the inflation releases. Despite the rise of both S&P500 and Nasdaq after the Fed statement, it can be short-lived. As the level of inflation determines further steps by the Fed, a considerable rise will indicate tighter decisions by the bank. Thus, stock indices will plunge. In addition, look at the Netflix stock, as its shareholders filed a lawsuit against the company. The stock is already oversold, so it may start rising this week. The first resistance lies at $270.



The BOJ doesn’t Want to Help the Yen

Over the past year, the yen has been moving lower against the dollar mainly because of the overall USD strength. But there’s more behind the weakness of the JPY. How low could the currency go, and what drives USDJPY?


Gold isn't saving investors from inflation

Many investors treated gold as a protection against inflation. However, last week, gold lost its major support and dropped despite rising inflation. Why did it act like this?

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