Gold price formed a bearish harmonic ‘Butterfly’ pattern. Still, the detour to $1760 may be the decline it forecasts. In addition, even the pattern allows expecting the increase up to $1780.
What to trade? Consider EUR/JPY
Information is not investment advice
EUR/JPY is enjoying the medium-term uptrend since the start of September. The pair’s currently trading above the 50-week MA (121.66) and above December highs (122.50). The latter hadn’t let the pair to get higher for four weeks, so a break above will mean that buyers have become stronger. The next targets on the upside are at 123.35 (June high) and 124.15 (38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the 2018-2019 decline). Although the long-term is negative and there will be significant resistance at the mentioned levels, a weaker yen may lead the pair to the mentioned targets. The medium-term outlook will remain positive as long as EUR/JPY is trading above 121.00.
At the same time, we still haven’t seen a daily fix above 122.50. A decline below today’s low at 122.30 will mean that the move to the upside was false and open the way for a decline to 121.50.
AUD/USD formed an inverted "Head and Shoulders’ and is targeting 0.7815, 0.7840, and 0.7860.
USD/JPY rose to the resistance of the 50-week MA at 106.00. The pair is not at the resistance line since the end of December.
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