Oil prices fell to a three-month low following the release of US inflation data which was in line with expectations…
What awaits the Oil Market in February?
Information is not investment advice
Western countries are trying to find other options for oil and gas supplies after a 10th package of sanctions, which will put more pressure on Russian oil and decrease global oil supply. Italy, for example, is in talks with Libya.
However, the lingering question is "will the reopening of the Chinese economy pool enough demand to alter the decline in the outcome of oil price in February?"
How does this affect the Forex market?
Oil prices usually work as a leading indicator for the US dollar. Rising prices lead to inflation increase, which forces the Fed to become more hawkish. As a result, the greenback strengthens.
On the other hand, lower oil prices cool down inflation, making the Federal Reserve to act more dovish. As a result, the USD declines.
What do the charts have to say?
In light of the fundamental breakdown above, we will draw our conclusions from the outlook of price on the charts using price action.
XBRUSD - D1
On the daily timeframe, Brent has been steadily bearish since March, 2022, declining by over 33% from the high. At the present, price has created a downward channel and is currently retesting the trendine resistance. The presence of the 100-Day SMA at that level as a confluence simply makes a stronger case for a bearish continuation from that point.
XTIUSD - Daily Timeframe
On the daily timeframe, XTIUSD formed a rising channel inside a downward channel. The implication of this is that the point of intersection of trendlines from both channels acts as a strong area of resistance. Considering the presence of the 100-Day SMA as an added confluence, it is only logical to expect lower prices on oil over the next couple of days.
Based on the analyses above, it is safe to expect bearish price action of the oil market.
The trading of CFDs comes at a risk. Thus, to succeed, you have to manage risks properly. To avoid costly mistakes while you look to trade these opportunities, be sure to do your due diligence and manage your risk appropriately.
The US dollar index has lost around 12% since October 2022 till its local low at the end of January 2023.
The EU plans to intervene in markets directly to curb rising energy costs, threatening to push the Euro area's economy into a deep recession.
In today's article, we will be performing an interesting analytical experiment - Correlation! To start, I have chosen a few indices that we will be observing. It's just like we're analyzing...
I know we've had quite an amazing run these past few month, with over 78% accuracy in our trade ideas and sentiments, and thousands of pips in profits monthly...
Futures for Canada's main stock index rose on Monday, following positive global markets and gains in crude oil prices. First Citizens BancShares Inc's announcement of purchasing the loans and deposits of failed Silicon Valley Bank also boosted investor confidence in the global financial system...