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USD/TRY: at 16-month resistance

USD/TRY: at 16-month resistance

Information is not investment advice

Long term

While the battles between the USD and its European and Asian counterparts keep going, the currencies of the developing countries show little resistance to the US dollar. The Turkish lira is one of them.

Coronavirus and the oil price war changed little for the upward tendency of the USD/TRY. Currently, it trades at 6.83 where it tests the 16-month resistance. In the long term, the currency pair has all it takes to reach its all-time high at 7.05 and go further up.


Short term

If the dynamics of this currency pair performance keep their pace, the resistance of 6.83 will not take long to get broken. The Awesome Oscillator suggests that the upward movement has not reached its local peak yet, and is likely to continue in the same direction until it reaches the ranges of 6.90. At that level a bearish reversal may be expected. In this case, the support of 6.74 enhanced by the 50-MA will be there to check the downward movement. Additional support may be placed at 6.62 with reference to 100-MA, just in case of severe turbulence. The latter is unlikely, though, but it is better to be prepared for this kind of scenarios.


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How Will BoJ Meeting Affect the Yen

Hold onto your hats, folks! The Japanese yen took a nosedive after the Bank of Japan (BOJ) left its ultra-loose policy settings unchanged, including its closely watched yield curve control (YCC) policy. But wait, there's more! The BOJ also removed its forward guidance, which had previously pledged to keep interest rates at current or lower levels. So, what's the scoop? Market expectations had been subdued going into the meeting, but some were still hoping for tweaks to the forward guidance to prepare for an eventual exit from the bank's massive stimulus

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