Ichimoku Kinko Hyo CNH/JPY: The CNH/JPY pair is trading above the Kumo…
USD/JPY: supported by the NFP
Information is not investment advice
The NFP numbers were better than expected: 20.5mln jobs were cut against the 22mln estimate, with a 14.5% unemployment rate beating the forecast of 16%. As scary as they are, these figures are the best possible scenario, and the USD/JPY took that as such.
From the support at 106.33, the currency pair rose straight to 106.64, breaking the resistance of the 100-MA and 200-MA. The latter will likely serve now as a support level at 106.60 checking how firm the USD/JPY established itself at a higher base. If the market receives further positive news, it will likely push the USD/JPY back down in favor of riskier inclinations of investors.
On Thursday, the 2nd of February, the Bank of England will publish its report concerning interest rates and inflation data for the Eurozone. Professionals and investors anticipate that Andrew Bailey’s lead team of policy makers will likely raise interest rates to 4%; the highest in over a decade, for the tenth time in a row.
The first FOMC meeting comes after a buildup of anticipation from traders and investors alike, as the markets await what posture the Fed will take regarding the interest rates; would there be a hike or a cut in interest rates? Recall that the Federal Open Market Committee had previously ended the year 2022 with a 50bps hike, and an indication from Powell, the committee chairman, that the Fed could consider raising interest rates by 75bps in the course of the year 2023.
Western countries are trying to find other options for oil and gas supplies after a 10th package of sanctions, which will put more pressure on Russian oil and decrease global oil supply. Italy, for example, is in talks with Libya.