The G20 summit took place in Bali, Indonesia, on November 2022…
USD/JPY keeps rallying
Information is not investment advice
The US dollar became stronger last week amid the risk-off sentiment, but this week the demand for the greenback waned. It was caused by optimism over the US fiscal stimulus package and also some progress in the Brexit agreement. The impasse between Democrats and Republicans has been too long, therefore the recent announcement to unveil 2.2 trillion dollars improved the market sentiment and weighed more on the safe-haven yen. On the flip side, uncertainty over November’s US elections may underpin the JPY against the USD.
USD/JPY has been rising for almost a week except for Monday, but the strong resistance of the 50-day moving average at 105.80 may stop it from moving higher. In fact, it has already failed several times to cross it. However, if it manages to break it through, the doors towards 106.20 and then to 106.50 will be open. The RSI indicator has approached the 50.00 level. As you may know, if the RSI is above this point, momentum is considered up and there’s more sense to look for opportunities to buy. That’s why, the breakout may confirm further bullishness.
In the opposite scenario, if it falls below the key psychological mark of 105.00, the way to the low of September 17 at 104.50 will be open. Indeed, this scenario is quite possible as the long-term trend is bearish, and there is no sign of reverse yet. Wait what will happen next: breakout or pullback and join the flow!
The deafening news shocked the whole world yesterday: the British Queen Elizabeth II died peacefully at the age of 96…
After months of pressure from the White House, Saudi Arabia relented and agreed with other OPEC+ members to increase production.
The first FOMC meeting comes after a buildup of anticipation from traders and investors alike, as the markets await what posture the Fed will take regarding the interest rates; would there be a hike or a cut in interest rates? Recall that the Federal Open Market Committee had previously ended the year 2022 with a 50bps hike, and an indication from Powell, the committee chairman, that the Fed could consider raising interest rates by 75bps in the course of the year 2023.
Western countries are trying to find other options for oil and gas supplies after a 10th package of sanctions, which will put more pressure on Russian oil and decrease global oil supply. Italy, for example, is in talks with Libya.
Last year was tough for the Japanese yen. USDJPY gained more than 30% over 2022, striking above 150 in October. While anticipation of slower Fed rate hikes pulled the pair below the 130 level at the start of 2023, the speculations over the destiny of BOJ’s yield control policy grabbed the attention of the Japanese assets in the middle of January. What lies ahead for traders of the Japanese yen?