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USD/JPY is looking for a way
Information is not investment advice
As we had foreseen earlier this week, USD/JPY traveled lower, to the 107.00 area. Then, however, it managed to rebound from the 50-day MA and return above 107.50. The pair still looks very tradable. We acknowledge efforts of buyers, but we see a resistance: 100-day MA at 107.82. On the H4, you may notice a higher high. If USD/JPY stays above 107.50 and breaks above 108.00, we’ll get an “inverted Head and Shoulders” pattern and target 108.40. On the other hand, a decline below 107.50/30, will shift the focus back down to 107.00/106.80.
The first FOMC meeting comes after a buildup of anticipation from traders and investors alike, as the markets await what posture the Fed will take regarding the interest rates; would there be a hike or a cut in interest rates? Recall that the Federal Open Market Committee had previously ended the year 2022 with a 50bps hike, and an indication from Powell, the committee chairman, that the Fed could consider raising interest rates by 75bps in the course of the year 2023.
Western countries are trying to find other options for oil and gas supplies after a 10th package of sanctions, which will put more pressure on Russian oil and decrease global oil supply. Italy, for example, is in talks with Libya.
Last year was tough for the Japanese yen. USDJPY gained more than 30% over 2022, striking above 150 in October. While anticipation of slower Fed rate hikes pulled the pair below the 130 level at the start of 2023, the speculations over the destiny of BOJ’s yield control policy grabbed the attention of the Japanese assets in the middle of January. What lies ahead for traders of the Japanese yen?