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USD/JPY has dropped below 113 again from over 114 last week

USD/JPY has dropped below 113 again from over 114 last week

Information is not investment advice





Ichimoku Kinko Hyo

EUR/JPY: The EUR/JPY pair has just entered the cloud. Further bullish momentum will trigger the market to move higher, targeting the upper level of the Kumo. A failed attempt to move higher will push the exchange rate to exit the cloud with bearish implications.


European Market View

The most important data release of the day will be the U.S. CPI for October, where consensus is looking for an uptick both in terms of headline and core inflation.

Equities around the world moved lower for a change as US stocks broke the long trend of moving higher. Dow Jones edged lower by -0.3%, S&P 500 by -0.4% and NASDAQ by -0.6%). It does not help overall performance or risk appetite to see a mega cap company such as Tesla loosing 12% or 199 billion USD in one trading session! Otherwise, defensive value stocks were outperforming while energy stocks also moved higher. The news flow is more and more focused on inflation. This should not change today as all eyes will turn to US CPI release at 14:30 CET.

Asian markets are lower this morning with Hang Seng and a property developer once again leading markets lower (Fantasia down over 30% after resuming trade following a long halt). European and U.S. futures are also in red across the board this morning.

In the FX space, JPY and CHF rose vis-à-vis AUD and NZD on Tuesday, driven partly by a decline in long-term bond yields and partly by commodity prices. USD/JPY has dropped below 113 again from over 114 last week. EUR/CHF holds steady below the 1.06 level. In the EM space, USDTRY trades north of 9.70.



How Will BoJ Meeting Affect the Yen

Hold onto your hats, folks! The Japanese yen took a nosedive after the Bank of Japan (BOJ) left its ultra-loose policy settings unchanged, including its closely watched yield curve control (YCC) policy. But wait, there's more! The BOJ also removed its forward guidance, which had previously pledged to keep interest rates at current or lower levels. So, what's the scoop? Market expectations had been subdued going into the meeting, but some were still hoping for tweaks to the forward guidance to prepare for an eventual exit from the bank's massive stimulus

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