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USD/JPY: a SELL opportunity
Information is not investment advice
USD/JPY rose to the resistance of the 50-week MA at 106.00. The pair is not at the resistance line since the end of December. This is the third time the price comes to this level. As a result, a correction to the downside is likely. The decline below support at 105.85 will open the way down to 105.60 (200-day MA). The further fall will make the pair vulnerable for a fall to the lower border of the short-term uptrend at 105.00.
The market awaits the release of the US retail sales and the FOMC meeting minutes. IF the former is worse than expected, USD/JPY will get hurt.
Trade idea for USD/JPY
SELL 105.80; TP 105.60; SL 105.90
SELL 105.40; TP 105.00; SL 105.60
On Thursday, the 2nd of February, the Bank of England will publish its report concerning interest rates and inflation data for the Eurozone. Professionals and investors anticipate that Andrew Bailey’s lead team of policy makers will likely raise interest rates to 4%; the highest in over a decade, for the tenth time in a row.
The first FOMC meeting comes after a buildup of anticipation from traders and investors alike, as the markets await what posture the Fed will take regarding the interest rates; would there be a hike or a cut in interest rates? Recall that the Federal Open Market Committee had previously ended the year 2022 with a 50bps hike, and an indication from Powell, the committee chairman, that the Fed could consider raising interest rates by 75bps in the course of the year 2023.
Western countries are trying to find other options for oil and gas supplies after a 10th package of sanctions, which will put more pressure on Russian oil and decrease global oil supply. Italy, for example, is in talks with Libya.