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The USD had been a safe haven when it comes to the US-Sino trade war. However, the situation has changed: now investors worry that trade conflict will hurt the American economy more than expected and thus increase their bets for the Federal Reserve’s rate cut this year. As the CHF is considered as a stronger kind of safe haven, we propose a USD/CHF short trade.
The pair fell below the 50-day MA (1.0070) and the line connecting January and March lows. If it goes below the 100-day MA (1.0024), the target will lie at 0.9955 (200-day MA, 50-week MA, and the line connecting 2018 and 2019 lows).
Stocks, oil, and risk currencies gained on Tuesday as the formal go-ahead for US President-elect Joe Biden to begin his transition burnished a November already boosted by Covid-19 vaccines.
EUR/USD fell below 1.1850 after reaching 1.1920 on Monday. The pair consolidated after the initial bearish move.
USD/CAD remains within a downtrend. As a result, selling the pair as it turns down from resistance is the best strategy. Support lies at 1.3125.
U.S. stocks are set to open lower later, on a combination of the pandemic news and the downbeat news from Tech’s Old Guard late on Thursday.
Oil fell below $52.00 because investors expect a weaker oil demand amid rising Covid-19 infections and new lockdowns.
Asian equity markets traded cautiously after the mixed lead from Wall St where most indices stalled at record levels
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