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USD/CAD is under short-term pressure
Information is not investment advice
USD/CAD broke below 1.3370 on Friday. This level will provide the short-term resistance for the pair acting as a neckline for the “Double top”. As long as the price stays below this level, the near-term focus will be on the 100-day MA at 1.3310.
The advance above 1.3370 will open the way up to 1.3430 where USD/CAD will meet resistance provided by the line connecting March highs.
On Thursday, the 2nd of February, the Bank of England will publish its report concerning interest rates and inflation data for the Eurozone. Professionals and investors anticipate that Andrew Bailey’s lead team of policy makers will likely raise interest rates to 4%; the highest in over a decade, for the tenth time in a row.
The first FOMC meeting comes after a buildup of anticipation from traders and investors alike, as the markets await what posture the Fed will take regarding the interest rates; would there be a hike or a cut in interest rates? Recall that the Federal Open Market Committee had previously ended the year 2022 with a 50bps hike, and an indication from Powell, the committee chairman, that the Fed could consider raising interest rates by 75bps in the course of the year 2023.
Western countries are trying to find other options for oil and gas supplies after a 10th package of sanctions, which will put more pressure on Russian oil and decrease global oil supply. Italy, for example, is in talks with Libya.