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USD/CAD: falls below 1.2500 for the first time in three years

USD/CAD: falls below 1.2500 for the first time in three years

Information is not investment advice

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Ichimoku Kinko Hyo

CAD/JPY: The pair is trading above the cloud. An upward pressure would lead the pair to exit further the cloud, confirming a bullish outlook.

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Fibonacci Levels

 XAG/USD: Silver continuous to stand below 61.8% retracement area despite the bullish efforts to send price higher.

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EU Market View

Global stocks jumped on Thursday after U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell reaffirmed interest rates would stay low for a long time, calming market fears that higher inflation might prompt the central bank to tighten monetary policy. Powell's reassurance gave a fresh impetus to reflation trades and boosted risk asset prices while also driving U.S. bond yields back up to one-year highs. In a second day of testimony in Washington, Powell reiterated the Fed's promise to get the U.S. economy back to full employment and to not worry about inflation unless prices rose in a persistent and troubling way. The prospects of a prolonged period of low interest rates came as investors expect a huge U.S. fiscal stimulus and a progress in COVID-19 vaccinations to shore up the economy, especially the sectors hit the hardest by the pandemic.

The safe-haven U.S. dollar languished near three-year lows versus riskier currencies on Thursday as continued dovish signals from the Federal Reserve stoked reflation bets. Crude oil climbed to fresh 13-month highs after U.S. government data showed a drop in crude output as a deep freeze disrupted production last week. Looking ahead, highlights from macroeconomic calendar include US durables, GDP (2nd), IJC, PCE Prices (Q4), ECB's Lane, de Guindos, de Cos, Fed's Bostic, Bullard, Quarles, Williams speeches.

EU Key Point

  • Germany reports 11,869 new coronavirus cases, 385 deaths in latest update today.
  • Poll shows analysts expect another 6% higher for the S&P500 this year.
  • AUD/USD is creeping higher in Asia morning trade.
  • Fed Vice Chair Clarida says will not lift rates until we actually get to 2%.
  • US stocks close sharply higher. Dow industrial average closes at a record high.

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It’s Time to Look at New Zealand

Inflation in New Zealand is the highest since 1990, edging to 7.3% in Q2 2022. The currency is under heavy pressure as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand is trying to reverse the inflationary spiral. The week ahead will give us a valuable clue about the country’s monetary policy, and we are here to talk about that.

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