Stocks, oil, and risk currencies gained on Tuesday as the formal go-ahead for US President-elect Joe Biden to begin his transition burnished a November already boosted by Covid-19 vaccines.
USD/CAD: bears are trying to win
Information is not investment advice
USD/CAD is actively testing levels below the July-September support line. In addition, it has slipped below all the key daily MAs (200, 100, and 50). The price action that has been unfolding since the start of September so far corresponds to the bullish harmonic “Shark” pattern, which implies that the price should decline to the 1.3125/20 area (50-month MA, 200-week MA) first to complete the pattern before turning higher.
The disappointing data from the United States which increases the odds of the Fed’s rate cut in October and the better-than-expected figures from Canada may be the drivers of the short-term movement to the downside. Watch for the break below the support at 1.3180 to trigger the move to the mentioned downside targets.
If USD/CAD returns above 1.3230 (100-day MA), bulls will regain power and we’ll have to rethink the situation.
EUR/USD fell below 1.1850 after reaching 1.1920 on Monday. The pair consolidated after the initial bearish move.
USD/CAD remains within a downtrend. As a result, selling the pair as it turns down from resistance is the best strategy. Support lies at 1.3125.
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US President-elect Joe Biden proposed a $1.9 trillion stimulus plan to jump-start the world's largest economy and accelerate its response to COVID-19