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USD/CAD awaits US data
Information is not investment advice
USD/CAD is another pair that has the potential to make significant moves in the near term. Last week the pair broke below the uptrend support line from the start of 2018. It now provides resistance together with the 100-day MA at 1.3350.
The United States will release retail sales figures at 15:30 MT time. If the data turn out to be weaker than expected, the break down continues targeting 1.3285/70. The ultimate support is at 1.3120 (200-week MA). If American figures are strong, we’ll target the 1.3400 area on the break above 1.3370.
On Thursday, the 2nd of February, the Bank of England will publish its report concerning interest rates and inflation data for the Eurozone. Professionals and investors anticipate that Andrew Bailey’s lead team of policy makers will likely raise interest rates to 4%; the highest in over a decade, for the tenth time in a row.
The first FOMC meeting comes after a buildup of anticipation from traders and investors alike, as the markets await what posture the Fed will take regarding the interest rates; would there be a hike or a cut in interest rates? Recall that the Federal Open Market Committee had previously ended the year 2022 with a 50bps hike, and an indication from Powell, the committee chairman, that the Fed could consider raising interest rates by 75bps in the course of the year 2023.
Western countries are trying to find other options for oil and gas supplies after a 10th package of sanctions, which will put more pressure on Russian oil and decrease global oil supply. Italy, for example, is in talks with Libya.