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US Dollar mixed ahead of retail sales, jobless claims

US Dollar mixed ahead of retail sales, jobless claims

Information is not investment advice





Ichimoku Kinko Hyo

USD/JPY: The pair is trading below the cloud. A downward pressure would lead the pair to exit further the cloud, confirming a bearish outlook.


Fibonacci Levels

 XAU/USD: Gold facing a further consolidation below 38.2% retracement area. Bulls have returned recently.


US Market View

U.S. stock markets are set to open mostly higher after a mixed day on Wednesday on which tech underperformed value stocks. It’s a data-driven day in the U.S., with retail sales and industrian production data for March due, as well as the weekly update on jobless claims. Industrial production, due 45 minutes later, is expected to have rebounded 2.8% after a 2.2% drop in February, when a week-long cold snap across much of the south paralyzed the energy complex and a suite of energy-intensive industries.

initial job claims, which rose to 744,000 in last week’s release, are expected to have fallen to 700,000, a number that would still reflect a high continuing rate of layoffs in the economy, over a year after the start of the pandemic. 

 The Russian ruble fell as much as 2% and the country’s stock market fell 2.4% in response to news that the U.S. will introduce new sanctions on the country due to its involvement in the SolarWinds hack and in past election interference.

Crude oil prices retreated overnight after making substantial gains in response to a faster-than-expected draw on US crude stockpiles last week.The drop in inventories reported by the Energy Information Administration was nearly twice was was expected. Crude prices hit their highest in nearly a month in response, already supported by two upgrades to world oil demand this week from OPEC and the International Energy Agency.


USA Key Point

  • The CAD is the strongest and the EUR is the weakest.
  • Full slate of economic data due at the bottom of the hour.
  • Dollar nudges a little higher awaiting US retail sales data.
  • China Huarong said to be ready to repay S$600 million of bonds due at the end of the month.
  • Treasury yields hold a little lower on the day so far.
  • German health minister says still expects 20% of population to be vaccinated by end April.
  • AUD/USD keeps the upside run going after slight pullback earlier in the day.
  • EUR/USD keeps close to the mid-March highs, buyers looking to test 1.2000.



How Will BoJ Meeting Affect the Yen

Hold onto your hats, folks! The Japanese yen took a nosedive after the Bank of Japan (BOJ) left its ultra-loose policy settings unchanged, including its closely watched yield curve control (YCC) policy. But wait, there's more! The BOJ also removed its forward guidance, which had previously pledged to keep interest rates at current or lower levels. So, what's the scoop? Market expectations had been subdued going into the meeting, but some were still hoping for tweaks to the forward guidance to prepare for an eventual exit from the bank's massive stimulus

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