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US Dollar medium term outlook remains  choppy

US Dollar medium term outlook remains choppy

Information is not investment advice





Ichimoku Kinko Hyo

CAD/JPY: The pair is trading below the cloud. A downward pressure would lead the pair to exit further the cloud, confirming a bearish outlook.


Fibonacci Levels

 XAG/USD: Silver continuous to stand below 23.6% retracement area. Bearish pressure is gathering momentum day by day.


EU Market View

Asia Pacific equity markets eventually traded mostly higher as the region picked up the baton from last week's late surge on Wall Street. European stock markets are seen opening largely lower Monday, weighed by growing concerns the third wave of Covid-19 cases will result in further lockdowns as well as weakness in the banking sector as Credit Suisse warns of a “highly significant” hit to results. Worries are growing that Europe's biggest economies will have to tighten their restrictions still more, further delaying the region’s economic recovery, after France posted its highest number for Covid patients in intensive care units this year on Sunday. Earlier Monday Japan’s biggest investment bank Nomura flagged a possible $2 billion loss at a U.S. subsidiary, which the bank said stemmed from transactions with a U.S. client.

The dollar began the week on a firm footing, inching toward a milestone peak against the euro on Monday, as a cautious market mood pushed investors to safety while U.S. economic strength and a rapid vaccine rollout also added to the greenback's shine.

Oil prices retreated Monday as the container ship stuck in the Suez Canal was partially refloated, raising the possibility that it may be freed in the near future, thus unblocking the key waterway.

 Looking ahead, highlights from macroeconomic calendar include ECB net PEPP purchases and ECB's de Cos speech.


EU Key Point

  • Suez Canal authorities confirm that Ever Given has been successfully refloated.
  • BOJ governor Kuroda scheduled to speak tomorrow.
  • New Turkish central bank chief says that April rate cut is not guaranteed.
  • Germany reports 9,872 new coronavirus cases, 43 deaths in latest update.
  • Australian coronavirus wages subsidy has ended, 100K jobs expected to be lost.
  • Brexit - more than a fifth of small UK exporters have temporarily halted sales to the EU.
  • Doctors in France have warned over the rise in COVID-19 intensive care patients.
  • ECB's Lane weekend comments - European Central Bank must remain a key stabilizer of the euro zone econom
  • Germany's Merkel says the country need curfews, may use Federal law to tighten restrictions.



How Will BoJ Meeting Affect the Yen

Hold onto your hats, folks! The Japanese yen took a nosedive after the Bank of Japan (BOJ) left its ultra-loose policy settings unchanged, including its closely watched yield curve control (YCC) policy. But wait, there's more! The BOJ also removed its forward guidance, which had previously pledged to keep interest rates at current or lower levels. So, what's the scoop? Market expectations had been subdued going into the meeting, but some were still hoping for tweaks to the forward guidance to prepare for an eventual exit from the bank's massive stimulus

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