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The week started badly for oil
Information is not investment advice
WTI oil formed a “dark cloud cover” pattern on D1 near the downtrend resistance line. Yesterday’s candlestick was also bearish with a longer upper wick - a sign that sellers are in control of the market. Today the price opened with a bearish gap. It has topped above 53.00 and is once again testing levels below the 200-week MA at 52.60. Last week oil managed to close above this line, so we won’t have big downside targets, but a decline to 51.60 in the short-term looks quite possible.
Notice that to trade WTI, you need to choose WTI-19N in your MetaTrader.
On Thursday, the 2nd of February, the Bank of England will publish its report concerning interest rates and inflation data for the Eurozone. Professionals and investors anticipate that Andrew Bailey’s lead team of policy makers will likely raise interest rates to 4%; the highest in over a decade, for the tenth time in a row.
The first FOMC meeting comes after a buildup of anticipation from traders and investors alike, as the markets await what posture the Fed will take regarding the interest rates; would there be a hike or a cut in interest rates? Recall that the Federal Open Market Committee had previously ended the year 2022 with a 50bps hike, and an indication from Powell, the committee chairman, that the Fed could consider raising interest rates by 75bps in the course of the year 2023.
Western countries are trying to find other options for oil and gas supplies after a 10th package of sanctions, which will put more pressure on Russian oil and decrease global oil supply. Italy, for example, is in talks with Libya.