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The euro area flash HICP rose to 3.0% in August

The euro area flash HICP rose to 3.0% in August

Information is not investment advice





Ichimoku Kinko Hyo

CHF/JPY: CHF/JPY surged in today’s session. Further bullish momentum will lead the exchange rate to hit the previous top and even higher into fresh highs.


European Market View

The euro area flash HICP rose to 3.0% in August, which is the highest print since November 2011 (from 2.2% in July). The energy price inflation remained elevated but the biggest pro-inflationary factor this month was the jump in core inflation to 1.6% (from 0.71% in July). The high print fuels the ECB hawks argument to push for an end to crisis fighting tools sooner rather than later.

In the equities space, there were no major moves yesterday as investors are waiting for the next driver to appear. Equity investors are so far ignoring disappointing key figures but their confidence will probably be tested again today as more heavyweight numbers are due. In US yesterday Dow -0.1%, S&P 500 -0.1% and Nasdaq -0.04%. Asian markets are higher this morning lifted by upbeat tone in Japan. European futures starting September roughly 0.5% higher while US ones are only slightly higher this morning.

In the FX space, yesterday the session was generally characterised by USD weakness and EM performance PLN, CZK and ZAR were the primary outperformers. Normally, this would be a beneficial environment for NOK, yet the Norwegian krona was underperforming in FX major’s space with EUR/NOK back in the mid 10.20s. EURUSD is currently at 1.1800 area.



How Will BoJ Meeting Affect the Yen

Hold onto your hats, folks! The Japanese yen took a nosedive after the Bank of Japan (BOJ) left its ultra-loose policy settings unchanged, including its closely watched yield curve control (YCC) policy. But wait, there's more! The BOJ also removed its forward guidance, which had previously pledged to keep interest rates at current or lower levels. So, what's the scoop? Market expectations had been subdued going into the meeting, but some were still hoping for tweaks to the forward guidance to prepare for an eventual exit from the bank's massive stimulus

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