Ichimoku Kinko Hyo CNH/JPY: The CNH/JPY pair is trading above the Kumo…
The big stategic picture remains bullish for euro against all currencies
Information is not investment advice
Ichimoku Kinko Hyo
USD/JPY: The pair is trading below the cloud. Further bearish pressure will lead the currency pair to retest the previous lows.
XAG/USD: Silver consolidates above 61.8% retracement area. Buyers have returned.
European Market View
Asian shares scaled a record high on Friday on growing prospects of a large U.S. economic stimulus package, while hopes that coronavirus vaccine rollouts will boost the global economy underpinned investor sentiment.
Looking ahead, highlights from macroeconomic calendar include EZ Construction PMI, US and Canadian Labour Market reports, US Durable Goods (R), Baker Hughes Rig Count, BoE's Saunders, Tenreyro, Fed's Evans, Bowman and Kashkari speeches.
In commodities, oil prices got an additional lift after OPEC and Russia agreed to slightly ease their deep oil output cuts from January by 500,000 barrels per day (bpd) even as they failed to find a compromise on a broader and longer term policy.
The United States topped 14 million known COVID-19 infections with over 100,000 patients hospitalized for the first time. California imposed stay-at-home orders to take effect when intensive care units approach capacity in the coming days.
EU Key Point
- France's Beaune supports that Europe would veto any Brexit deal that is deemed unsatisfactory
- Germany October factory orders +2.9% vs +1.5% m/m expected
- Germany reports 23,449 new coronavirus cases in latest update today
- Biden says coronavirus economic aid bill should be passed; he will ask for more once in office
This week, there are a few high-probability trade ideas I'd like to recommend to you. Trading these setups, be sure to implement a proper risk management approach.
On Thursday, the 2nd of February, the Bank of England will publish its report concerning interest rates and inflation data for the Eurozone. Professionals and investors anticipate that Andrew Bailey’s lead team of policy makers will likely raise interest rates to 4%; the highest in over a decade, for the tenth time in a row.
The first FOMC meeting comes after a buildup of anticipation from traders and investors alike, as the markets await what posture the Fed will take regarding the interest rates; would there be a hike or a cut in interest rates? Recall that the Federal Open Market Committee had previously ended the year 2022 with a 50bps hike, and an indication from Powell, the committee chairman, that the Fed could consider raising interest rates by 75bps in the course of the year 2023.