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S&P500, Dow and NASDAQ all up 1%

S&P500, Dow and NASDAQ all up 1%

Information is not investment advice





Ichimoku Kinko Hyo

AUD/JPY: The AUD/JPY pair is now testing the previous top. Further bullish momentum will lead the market to reach fresh highs. A reversal back would push the currency pair to find support at the cloud.


European Market View

The central bank week continues today with policy announcements from Norges Bank and the Bank of England. We expect Norges Bank to raise its policy rate by 25bp to 0.25% and say that it will "most likely" hike again in December. 

Concerns over a possible default of Evergrande have eased on tentative signs that an orderly restructuring might take place. Chinese shares have increased around 1% in Hong Kong overnight. Still waiting for news on the USD83.5m of interest payments on a dollar bond. Yesterday, Evergrande announced an agreement had been made with bond holders of domestic bonds on a separate payment due today.

Yesterday the Fed announced that tapering "may soon be warranted" and that it expects tapering to be concluded in mid-2022.

In the equities space, markets were too busy rebounding, as they shrugged off the FOMC decision. US struggled somewhat to find its direction in the last hour of trading, but judging by the initial reaction Fed's hawkish tilt was well received. Risk on also evident in relative sector performance, with value and cyclicals. Energy, banks and tech were among the sector favourites. Meanwhile, healthcare and utilities trailed. S&P500, Dow and NASDAQ all up 1%. VIX lower for a second day, and now slightly below the 25 mark. Optimism continues in Asia this morning with markets up in the 1%-range. US futures all in green.

 In the FX space, EUR/USD broke below 1.17 yesterday after the more hawkish-than-anticipated Fed message.



How Will BoJ Meeting Affect the Yen

Hold onto your hats, folks! The Japanese yen took a nosedive after the Bank of Japan (BOJ) left its ultra-loose policy settings unchanged, including its closely watched yield curve control (YCC) policy. But wait, there's more! The BOJ also removed its forward guidance, which had previously pledged to keep interest rates at current or lower levels. So, what's the scoop? Market expectations had been subdued going into the meeting, but some were still hoping for tweaks to the forward guidance to prepare for an eventual exit from the bank's massive stimulus

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