
Ichimoku Kinko Hyo CNH/JPY: The CNH/JPY pair is trading above the Kumo…
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The stock market is going through an interesting phase now. On the one hand, some of its areas – specifically, tech stocks - are booming which alerts observes about investors overconfidence. On the other hand, there is a definite dropdown in the overall performance caused by second-wave virus fears amid new outbreaks. Is the march upwards over then?
Definitely not.
The closer the S&P gets to the pre-virus levels, the more downward gravity it will experience.
Hence, the more horizontally-bent it’s trajectory will look like as it moves upwards to ful recovery.
For this reason, it would probably be unwise to expect the recovery keep the upward pace of March and fall into way too optimistic zone 2 – we are already out of that range.
More likely, zone 1 will be where the stock market will be going – it is the most balanced and moderate expectation.
Finally, zone 3 is also a possibility, at least as a bottom to the channel of zone 1 to which the S&P may drop from time to time.
The horizontal-gravity theory is confirmed indirectly by the fact that each sideways/downward retrace lasts longer: as you move from sector A to sector D (we are currently at the bottom of sector D), you have a longer protraction over time.
Therefore, there is no reason to panic. Yes, there are outbreaks but the fundamentals have not changed yet. Take zone 1 as a realistic expectation of where the S&P goes in the nearest midterm and prepare for zone 3 to provide support at 3,000 for a while ahead.
Ichimoku Kinko Hyo CNH/JPY: The CNH/JPY pair is trading above the Kumo…
Ichimoku Kinko Hyo EUR/JPY: The EUR/JPY pair is now trading within the Kumo…
Ichimoku Kinko Hyo USD/JPY: The USD/JPY pair is now trading above the Kumo…
Last year was tough for the Japanese yen. USDJPY gained more than 30% over 2022, striking above 150 in October. While anticipation of slower Fed rate hikes pulled the pair below the 130 level at the start of 2023, the speculations over the destiny of BOJ’s yield control policy grabbed the attention of the Japanese assets in the middle of January. What lies ahead for traders of the Japanese yen?
Today, at 5:00 pm (GMT +2), the Bank of Canada will publish the Overnight Rate, which represents short-term interest rates, and is pivotal to the overall pricing of the Canadian Dollar in the global markets. Let's look at how the markets are faring ahead of the BoC rates release.
In a call scheduled for January 25, 00:30 am GMT+2, Microsoft will publish the company's earnings for the final quarter of 2022 and comment on the results, projections, and outlook for the nearest future of the company.
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