The G20 summit took place in Bali, Indonesia, on November 2022…
S&P 500 is about to fall
Information is not investment advice
Most analysts believe S&P 500 is overbought and it will have a correction soon. What is the reason?
There is no secret that many large US companies have a tough time now amid the coronavirus pandemic. Goldman predicts a 15% EPS decline in the first quarter for S&P 500. That would be the largest drop in earnings reported by the index since 2009, when the decline was 15.7%.
Moreover, according to the Morgan Stanley, earnings will decrease by 20% this year. The guidance from corporations may show that the virus damage was devastating and it takes a long time to rebound. The business loan demand increased by 17.3% the previous week, what generally indicates the beginning of the recession. While major economies around the world take tentative steps toward reopening, it’s still to early to talk about their recovery.
Let’s have a look at the S&P 500 chart below. The price was declining from February 20 to March 23, then it reversed and went upward. Few days ago it reached the 50-day moving average and had a short correction down. So, it might continue increasing only if it breaks through the 50-day moving average. However, most analysts anticipate the upcoming falling down.
The deafening news shocked the whole world yesterday: the British Queen Elizabeth II died peacefully at the age of 96…
After months of pressure from the White House, Saudi Arabia relented and agreed with other OPEC+ members to increase production.
On Thursday, the 2nd of February, the Bank of England will publish its report concerning interest rates and inflation data for the Eurozone. Professionals and investors anticipate that Andrew Bailey’s lead team of policy makers will likely raise interest rates to 4%; the highest in over a decade, for the tenth time in a row.
The first FOMC meeting comes after a buildup of anticipation from traders and investors alike, as the markets await what posture the Fed will take regarding the interest rates; would there be a hike or a cut in interest rates? Recall that the Federal Open Market Committee had previously ended the year 2022 with a 50bps hike, and an indication from Powell, the committee chairman, that the Fed could consider raising interest rates by 75bps in the course of the year 2023.
Western countries are trying to find other options for oil and gas supplies after a 10th package of sanctions, which will put more pressure on Russian oil and decrease global oil supply. Italy, for example, is in talks with Libya.