G20: what did the leaders decide?
The G20 summit took place in Bali, Indonesia, on November 2022…
Rabobank forecast: AUD will fall further
Information is not investment advice
The aussie is expected to plummet for the next six months. What is the reason?
What happened?
AUD/USD has been dipping for 5 days in a row. That hasn’t happened since the coronavirus outbreak at the beginning of March. "We see scope for AUD/USD to pullback," claimed analysts from Rabobank. The Australian dollar has been rising for almost half a year, driven by the optimistic prospects on recovery and the steady rebound in Chinese economic activity.
However, investors’ enthusiasm has waned these days as new virus cases have started rising again and therefore the recovery will take more time than initially expected. Moreover, there are loads more factors except a risk-off sentiment that also weigh on the overall sentiment, undermining riskier currencies like the aussie. Among them are the uncertainty over the US presidential elections in November, the impasse of the US fiscal stimulus, and, of course, US-China tensions.
Elsewhere, the Reserve Bank of Australia is interested in depreciation of the national currency to boost exports. The RBA also mentioned that lower rates would "definitely be beneficial for the Australian economy". Those prospects by themselves have already pushed the aussie to the downside. Traders eagerly await the RBA statement on October 6 for more clarity.
Technical tips
AUD/USD has been plummeting since Friday. It has even broken down the six-month uptrend and also the significant support of 0.7150. Therefore, the way towards the next support of 0.7000 at the 100-day moving average is clear. If it manages to cross it, the pair may drop to the next support of 0.6920, which it failed to break in early July. Resistance levels are 0.7150 and 0.7200.
Similar
The End of Era: What Might the UK Face Next?
The deafening news shocked the whole world yesterday: the British Queen Elizabeth II died peacefully at the age of 96…
Why didn't oil prices calm despite OPEC+ attempts?
After months of pressure from the White House, Saudi Arabia relented and agreed with other OPEC+ members to increase production.
Popular
What Will Happen with the Euro? An Economic Perspective.
eurusd-is-falling-what-to-expect-from-the-future-price-movement
Will Australia's "Rampant Inflation" Prevail in May?
Greetings, fellow forex traders! Exciting news for those with an eye on the Australian market - the upcoming interest rate decision could be good news for Aussies looking to refinance or take out new loans. The Mortgage and Finance Association Australia CEO, Anja Pannek, has...
How Will BoJ Meeting Affect the Yen
Hold onto your hats, folks! The Japanese yen took a nosedive after the Bank of Japan (BOJ) left its ultra-loose policy settings unchanged, including its closely watched yield curve control (YCC) policy. But wait, there's more! The BOJ also removed its forward guidance, which had previously pledged to keep interest rates at current or lower levels. So, what's the scoop? Market expectations had been subdued going into the meeting, but some were still hoping for tweaks to the forward guidance to prepare for an eventual exit from the bank's massive stimulus
Choose your payment system
