Ichimoku Kinko Hyo CNH/JPY: The CNH/JPY pair is trading above the Kumo…
Pound Is Rising Against Euro and Dollar
Information is not investment advice
After GBP/USD hit the lowest level since December 2020, it has reversed up and gained some strength. It has managed to break above the psychological mark of 1.3500. A short pullback to 1.3500 may happen after such as strong breakout. However, the rally should last for longer. The doors to the high of September 29 at 1.3550 are open. The breakout above it will push the pair up to the psychological mark of 1.3600. Support levels are at the recent lows of 1.3450 and 1.3415.
The US dollar was strengthening amid rising energy prices, expectations of the soon Fed’s tapering, causing a risk-off mood in markets. However, the US dollar has lost steam and allowed risk-on currencies like the pound sterling to advance.
The UK has revealed Final Manufacturing PMI, which came out better than expected: 57.1 vs the forecast of 56.3. Besides, US jobless claims came out worse than expected. All eyes are now on US ISM Manufacturing PMI at 17:00 GMT+3, which can change the track for the GBP/USD pair. A better-than-expected US PMI may press GBP/USD down, while worse – up.
On Thursday, the 2nd of February, the Bank of England will publish its report concerning interest rates and inflation data for the Eurozone. Professionals and investors anticipate that Andrew Bailey’s lead team of policy makers will likely raise interest rates to 4%; the highest in over a decade, for the tenth time in a row.
The first FOMC meeting comes after a buildup of anticipation from traders and investors alike, as the markets await what posture the Fed will take regarding the interest rates; would there be a hike or a cut in interest rates? Recall that the Federal Open Market Committee had previously ended the year 2022 with a 50bps hike, and an indication from Powell, the committee chairman, that the Fed could consider raising interest rates by 75bps in the course of the year 2023.
Western countries are trying to find other options for oil and gas supplies after a 10th package of sanctions, which will put more pressure on Russian oil and decrease global oil supply. Italy, for example, is in talks with Libya.