The G20 summit took place in Bali, Indonesia, on November 2022…
Oil: sliding down
Information is not investment advice
“2020 looks like it has upside potential that will also defy some of the gloomy predictions” – these were the words of the OPEC Secretary-General Mohamed Barkindo in November. He added that time that he saw brighter spots in the nearest future for the cartel.
A month later, during the OPEC meeting on December 5, it was decided to cut the output by 500,000 bpd for the first quarter of 2020. The general impression of that meeting provided little optimism on behalf of the OPEC to the journalists. In fact, there were hardly any official comments at all.
Now, OPEC and its strategic ally Russia are considering to hold an emergency meeting to address the weak oil demand from China resulting from Coronavirus counter-measures. The original time when the cartel was planning to gather for discussion was March, then the date was moved forward to February 14. Eventually, it may be set even earlier as observers report.
Oil into the fire
To put things in context, here are some additional facts. As of February 2020, Libya has cut its oil output by approximately 80%. The price should have increased because of that, but didn’t, eventually. At the same time, the oil production has reached its new records both in Russian and USA – which means there will be more tension between the US and OPEC+ as both gain more weight but have almost opposing interests.
What does the chart say?
It says things don’t look good for the oil price. Or they do – depends on who is seeing this. For OPEC obviously it’s bad: the cartel’s member countries are oil-dependent, and the oil price heavily contributes to the county income. The lower the price is – the lower the county income is. Entire political structures and domestic economies may tremble because of this alone, and it happened already.
The oil price broke the level of $57 recently (for Brent) – the level that has been the support for its movement through 2019. The three-years support of $50 is not that far away – meaning it’s almost where it was before the US-China trade war. Sounds quite alarming; and it should – at least, for the countries which have oil as the main state profit contributor.
We are far from seeing stability in oil prices, so you can use it and make profit on that. In addition, trading oil is a good diversification and additional to currencies.
The deafening news shocked the whole world yesterday: the British Queen Elizabeth II died peacefully at the age of 96…
After months of pressure from the White House, Saudi Arabia relented and agreed with other OPEC+ members to increase production.
Last year was tough for the Japanese yen. USDJPY gained more than 30% over 2022, striking above 150 in October. While anticipation of slower Fed rate hikes pulled the pair below the 130 level at the start of 2023, the speculations over the destiny of BOJ’s yield control policy grabbed the attention of the Japanese assets in the middle of January. What lies ahead for traders of the Japanese yen?
Today, at 5:00 pm (GMT +2), the Bank of Canada will publish the Overnight Rate, which represents short-term interest rates, and is pivotal to the overall pricing of the Canadian Dollar in the global markets. Let's look at how the markets are faring ahead of the BoC rates release.
In a call scheduled for January 25, 00:30 am GMT+2, Microsoft will publish the company's earnings for the final quarter of 2022 and comment on the results, projections, and outlook for the nearest future of the company.