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NZD/USD has met resistance
Information is not investment advice
The NZD hasn’t been feeling very well recently as it declined versus most other currencies. NZD/USD failed to overcome the resistance at 0.6430: yesterday’s close below 0.6385 confirmed the short-term victory of sellers. On the H4, we can see a “double top”. Negative pressure will increase if the pair declines below 0.6360 (50-period MA on the H4, 38.2% Fibo of the advance from Oct. 16). In this case, it will be vulnerable for a fall to 0.6340 (50% Fibo). Then the exchange rate may find some support and further selling will be possible only below 0.6315 (targeting 0.6285). On the upside, the return and fix above 0.6385 will allow a move to 0.6415.
The first FOMC meeting comes after a buildup of anticipation from traders and investors alike, as the markets await what posture the Fed will take regarding the interest rates; would there be a hike or a cut in interest rates? Recall that the Federal Open Market Committee had previously ended the year 2022 with a 50bps hike, and an indication from Powell, the committee chairman, that the Fed could consider raising interest rates by 75bps in the course of the year 2023.
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