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NZD/USD formed a big bearish candlestick yesterday. In addition, it returned below the 50-day MA and closed below the 38.2% Fibo of the advance since the end of May. The pair will likely remain volatile, but as long as it stays below the 50-day average at 0.6625, bears will feel good.
On H4, we can see a big top above 0.6610. Currently, the pair is saved from further declines by the 50- and 200-period moving averages that formed a “golden cross”. However, the top looks too heavy and the support may offer only temporary relief. As a result, we have two ideas: to sell on the break below 0.6580 (April low) or look for sell setups if the pair recovers to 0.6620. However, the second trade is not certain for now. If NZD/USD stays above 0.6580 (if the US data keeps disappointing), it may try for an inverted Head and Shoulders and attempt to revisit June highs. Still, that scenario, is far away, for now, so we focus on near-term opportunities.
Stocks, oil, and risk currencies gained on Tuesday as the formal go-ahead for US President-elect Joe Biden to begin his transition burnished a November already boosted by Covid-19 vaccines.
EUR/USD fell below 1.1850 after reaching 1.1920 on Monday. The pair consolidated after the initial bearish move.
USD/CAD remains within a downtrend. As a result, selling the pair as it turns down from resistance is the best strategy. Support lies at 1.3125.
Asian equity markets traded cautiously after the mixed lead from Wall St where most indices stalled at record levels
How do we trade the gold price? It seems to be losing the upside momentum - no problem for bears!
GBP/USD went beyond 1.37 and reversed the gains. How to trade it now?
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