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NOK and USD were top performers among G10 currencies yesterday

NOK and USD were top performers among G10 currencies yesterday

Information is not investment advice

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Ichimoku Kinko Hyo

NZD/JPY: The NZD/JPY pair is now testing the lower level of the Kumo. A failed attempt to move higher will push prices down to test the Kijun sen level and even lower to the previous support level.

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European Market View

Very thin volumes in the other side of the Atlantic yesterday as US markets were closed for holiday. Europe and Asia however edged higher. Growth and quality took stocks the lead, with tech and health care among the winning sectors, as markets discounted lower rates for longer. Risk on, with cyclicals generally ahead, beating defensives stocks. Stoxx 600 ended the day up 0.7%, Stockholm 1% (compounders and investment companies in the lead) Copenhagen 0.7%, Oslo 1.4% and Helsinki 0.6%. Asian markets are mostly higher, not least in Japan adding another 2% on stimulus hopes. US futures points to a slightly positive opening.

Elsewhere, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) decided to go ahead as planned with tapering its bond purchases from AUD 5bn to 4bn/week, seeing the economic setback as only temporary.

In the FX space, NOK and USD were top performers among G10 currencies yesterday vis-à-vis AUD, NZD, GBP and SEK. EUR/USD fell towards 1.1860.

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The US dollar index rose to 105.40 after the Fed’s 75-basis-point key rate hike, while the stock and the crypto markets fell. However, during the past few days, investors and traders returned to risk assets as they expect inflation growth to slow. Moreover, Jerome Powell, the head of the Federal Reserve, announced the Fed might start cutting the key rate by 2024, which is the most evident hint of an upcoming market reversal.

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Last week was shocking!  The US dollar gained more than 2% against other currencies ahead of the 75-basis points rate hike by the Federal Reserve on Wednesday but dropped after the announcement…

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