Ichimoku Kinko Hyo CNH/JPY: The CNH/JPY pair is trading above the Kumo…
MXN: historical depths
Information is not investment advice
Performance in 2020: +20%
Last day range: 22.45 – 22.83
52-week range: 18.51 – 23.06
Even if you open a monthly chart, you will not be able to link the current position of the USD/MXN to any point before. Trading at 22.60, this currency pair is at the all-time highs.
As the chart shows, this is a very recent move. It was fueled by the coronavirus-related events and the oil price war. However, it doesn’t mean that the factors pressing on the Mexican peso have just appeared – this currency has been chronically losing its value to the US dollar due to the fundamental weakness of the Mexican economy compared to its northern partner. This weakness has just gained stronger momentum and got propelled to a higher level than before.
Given the current circumstances, there are all the reasons to see the USD/MXN going higher, although a downward correction is to be expected in the short term before the next leap up.
On Thursday, the 2nd of February, the Bank of England will publish its report concerning interest rates and inflation data for the Eurozone. Professionals and investors anticipate that Andrew Bailey’s lead team of policy makers will likely raise interest rates to 4%; the highest in over a decade, for the tenth time in a row.
The first FOMC meeting comes after a buildup of anticipation from traders and investors alike, as the markets await what posture the Fed will take regarding the interest rates; would there be a hike or a cut in interest rates? Recall that the Federal Open Market Committee had previously ended the year 2022 with a 50bps hike, and an indication from Powell, the committee chairman, that the Fed could consider raising interest rates by 75bps in the course of the year 2023.
Western countries are trying to find other options for oil and gas supplies after a 10th package of sanctions, which will put more pressure on Russian oil and decrease global oil supply. Italy, for example, is in talks with Libya.