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Levels to trade AUD/USD
Information is not investment advice
After hitting a multiyear low just above 0.5500 on March 19, AUD/USD has formed a higher low in the 0.5720 area. The Awesome Oscillator on the H4 rose to the zero level. This allows expecting that the pair may try to make a bigger recovery. Bullish positions will become possible once the pair rises above the 50-period MA at 0.6000. Upside targets lie at 0.6095 (50% Fibonacci of March decline) and 0.6235 (61.8% Fibo).
On the other hand, it’s necessary to remember that the pair is still within the downtrend, so the decline may resume. The fall below 0.5880 will open the way down to 0.5830.
Trade idea for AUD/USD
BUY 0.6010; TP 0.6090; SL 0.5990
SELL 0.5875; TP 0.5830; SL 0.5895
On Thursday, the 2nd of February, the Bank of England will publish its report concerning interest rates and inflation data for the Eurozone. Professionals and investors anticipate that Andrew Bailey’s lead team of policy makers will likely raise interest rates to 4%; the highest in over a decade, for the tenth time in a row.
The first FOMC meeting comes after a buildup of anticipation from traders and investors alike, as the markets await what posture the Fed will take regarding the interest rates; would there be a hike or a cut in interest rates? Recall that the Federal Open Market Committee had previously ended the year 2022 with a 50bps hike, and an indication from Powell, the committee chairman, that the Fed could consider raising interest rates by 75bps in the course of the year 2023.
Western countries are trying to find other options for oil and gas supplies after a 10th package of sanctions, which will put more pressure on Russian oil and decrease global oil supply. Italy, for example, is in talks with Libya.