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AUD/JPY has been recovering from the 74.00 area since the start of January, but met resistance in the 76.00 area (Dec. 13 high). On the D1, the pair formed a small “spinning top” – a candlestick signaling market’s uncertainty. The direction of a breakout from the current range between 76.10 and 75.85 will determine the further move. A break above 76.10 will open the way up to December highs around 76.50. The decline below 75.58 (100-day MA on the H4) should trigger a fall to 75.25 (50-period MA).
Stocks, oil, and risk currencies gained on Tuesday as the formal go-ahead for US President-elect Joe Biden to begin his transition burnished a November already boosted by Covid-19 vaccines.
EUR/USD fell below 1.1850 after reaching 1.1920 on Monday. The pair consolidated after the initial bearish move.
USD/CAD remains within a downtrend. As a result, selling the pair as it turns down from resistance is the best strategy. Support lies at 1.3125.
Fed's Powell said a slowing recovery and a surging pandemic meant the US was entering a "challenging" few months, with the potential deployment of a vaccine still facing hurdles.
Investors are waiting for the significant decision of OPEC+ members to prolong oil output cuts or stop them.
The progress on the COVID-19 vaccines and hopes of a swift economic rebound next year added to the optimistic sentiment in the market.
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