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Key Moment for the Oil Market

Key Moment for the Oil Market

Information is not investment advice

Oil prices fell to a three-month low following the release of US inflation data which was in line with expectations. The annual inflation rate of 6% and monthly rate of 0.4% were unsurprising, but the monthly core Consumer Price Index (CPI) beat expectations at 0.5%. This has led to the market pricing in a 25 basis point hike from the Federal Reserve next week after briefly considering a pause in the aftermath of the recent bank failures of Silvergate Corp., SVB Financial, and Signature Bank.

The market is now viewing the Federal Reserve as hawkish again, which has raised concerns about a potential recession, given that the tightening cycle is yet to play out. We hope to gain more insight into the Fed's inclination at next week's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Still, the market remains uncertain and anxious about the economy's future. Having said all this, let's now look at the technical side of things.

XBRUSD

XBRUSDDaily-1503BB.png

XBRUSD on the Daily timeframe is currently squeezing between the support trendline from 4 years ago and the 100-day MA. Note that the price is currently stalling around 88% of the Fibonacci retracement, which may indicate bullish intent. However, there remains a bit of uncertainty as the MAs are still poised in a bearish array.

Analysts’ Expectations: 

Direction: Bullish

Target: 85.55

Invalidation: 74.82

CONCLUSION

The trading of CFDs comes at a risk. Thus, to succeed, you have to manage risks properly. To avoid costly mistakes while you look to trade these opportunities, be sure to do your due diligence and manage your risk appropriately.

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Legal disclaimer: The content of this material is a marketing communication, and not independent investment advice or research. The material is provided as general market information and/or market commentary. Nothing in this material is or should be considered to be legal, financial, investment or other advice on which reliance should be placed. No opinion included in the material constitutes a recommendation by Tradestone Ltd or the author that any particular investment security, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. All information is indicative and subject to change without notice and may be out of date at any given time. Neither Tradestone Ltd nor the author of this material shall be responsible for any loss you may incur, either directly or indirectly, arising from any investment based on any information contained herein. You should always seek independent advice suitable to your needs.

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