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Japanese Yen moves higher as risk off gains ground

Japanese Yen moves higher as risk off gains ground

Information is not investment advice





Fibonacci Levels

 XAU/USD: Gold facing a further consolidation on 23.6% retracement area. The battle between bulls and bears keep going.


Ichimoku Kinko Hyo

NZD/JPY: The pair is trading below the cloud. A downward pressure would lead the pair to exit further the cloud, confirming a bearish outlook.


US Market View

 U.S. stocks are seen opening lower Friday, handing back some recent gains as investors digest a flurry of earnings results, particularly from Amazon and Twitter ahead of some key inflation data.

After the close of trading Thursday, Amazon reported earnings and continued the example of peers like Facebook and Apple by posting record profits from pandemic shopping, sending its stock 2.4% higher premarket, to a new record high. The e-commerce giant also indicated sales would keep growing even as the U.S. economy reopened and customers ventured out to shops.

Fed Chairman Jerome Powell has repeatedly stated that the central bank would need to see inflation around 2% for a prolonged period before it decided to tighten its very accommodative monetary policies, but the release could still provide a valuable indication of how quickly prices are rising.

The economic news out of Europe was mixed, as the eurozone economy contracted 0.6% quarter-on-quarter in the first three months of the year, sliding into recession as widely expected. This was mainly caused by a 1.7% quarterly slump in its biggest economy Germany, though mitigated by 0.4% quarterly growth in second biggest France.

USA Key Point

  • France said to extend COVID-19 vaccine shots to all adults from 15 June onwards.
  • SNB's Jordan: Swiss franc remains highly valued.
  • BOE to make tapering call in June.
  • Dollar keeps steadier so far on the session, market tones a bit more mixed.
  • Germany Q1 preliminary GDP -1.7% vs -1.5% q/q expected.




Will the FOMC Surprise the Markets?

The first FOMC meeting comes after a buildup of anticipation from traders and investors alike, as the markets await what posture the Fed will take regarding the interest rates; would there be a hike or a cut in interest rates? Recall that the Federal Open Market Committee had previously ended the year 2022 with a 50bps hike, and an indication from Powell, the committee chairman, that the Fed could consider raising interest rates by 75bps in the course of the year 2023.

Will USDJPY slide lower in 2023?

Last year was tough for the Japanese yen. USDJPY gained more than 30% over 2022, striking above 150 in October. While anticipation of slower Fed rate hikes pulled the pair below the 130 level at the start of 2023, the speculations over the destiny of BOJ’s yield control policy grabbed the attention of the Japanese assets in the middle of January. What lies ahead for traders of the Japanese yen?

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