
The G20 summit took place in Bali, Indonesia, on November 2022…
Don’t waste your time – keep track of how NFP affects the US dollar!
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Gold dropped significantly yesterday, while analysts predicted $1 800. Were they wrong?
XAU/USD set a strong upward trend. It reached the 8-year high. Most economists predicted that the gold price would continue rising up to $1 800. Indeed, gold tends to increase amid the market uncertainty. And there are a lot of reasons to be hesitant now:
Investors usually pour money to safe-haven assets such as gold, USD and JPY in such dark times. However, the US dollar started to lose its safe-haven title. Its global dominance has waned as the USA is suffering from the virus outbreak. That’s why gold turned to the number one “emergency” asset. Nevertheless, successful Covid-19 vaccine tests from Pfizer and BioNtech improved the market sentiment. Therefore, yesterday gold bears became stronger and the price dropped. Traders started doubting whether it’s time to sell gold. Most analysts reassured that it’s not the time yet. According to Peter Cardillo, chief market economist at Spartan Capital Securities: “gold is continuing to rise reaching new historic levels setting the stage for $2 000 gold sometime this year”.
Traders widely await the US NFP report today. It will define the whole market sentiment and should have a huge impact on gold. If the data comes worse than expected, gold will surge, otherwise-drop. The report will be released at 15:30 MT time. Don’t miss out!
The long-term trend is bullish. It’s likely that it will stick to this trend. However, short-term contractions may take place on its way up. If NFP comes worse than the forecast, the price can break through the resistance at $1 780, and then it may surge further. In opposite, if NFP comes better than expected, gold may fall to the support at $1 760 and then $1 727. Follow the report and catch the market move!
The G20 summit took place in Bali, Indonesia, on November 2022…
The deafening news shocked the whole world yesterday: the British Queen Elizabeth II died peacefully at the age of 96…
After months of pressure from the White House, Saudi Arabia relented and agreed with other OPEC+ members to increase production.
The first FOMC meeting comes after a buildup of anticipation from traders and investors alike, as the markets await what posture the Fed will take regarding the interest rates; would there be a hike or a cut in interest rates? Recall that the Federal Open Market Committee had previously ended the year 2022 with a 50bps hike, and an indication from Powell, the committee chairman, that the Fed could consider raising interest rates by 75bps in the course of the year 2023.
Western countries are trying to find other options for oil and gas supplies after a 10th package of sanctions, which will put more pressure on Russian oil and decrease global oil supply. Italy, for example, is in talks with Libya.
Last year was tough for the Japanese yen. USDJPY gained more than 30% over 2022, striking above 150 in October. While anticipation of slower Fed rate hikes pulled the pair below the 130 level at the start of 2023, the speculations over the destiny of BOJ’s yield control policy grabbed the attention of the Japanese assets in the middle of January. What lies ahead for traders of the Japanese yen?
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